Because the Senate is almost as important as the White House, I came up with the three most likely outcomes in that chamber.
The good news is that we should know the results of these races fairly soon, with one exception: If Biden wins a close election, both Georgia races will end up in a run-off election in January.
One thing that needs to be stressed. The party that wins the presidency will likely carry the Senate. I can't think of a single scenario where Biden wins the White House and Dems don't regain their Senate majority.
One bright spot: the generic ballot is plus 6.8 for Democrats. In 2018, it was plus 7.3. That's the highest it's been in a presidential election since 2008 when it was 9.0, and we all know what happened that year.
So, for what it's worth,
If Biden wins in a landslide:
If Biden wins a close election:
Comments