Six Possible Outcomes in the Presidential Race

Again, I'm not making any predictions, but based on the national polling, these are the six most likely outcomes in the presidential election.

As you can see, Biden can win the popular vote by 3 - 5 points (that's 4 to 6 million votes) and still lose the electoral college. Only in America can such an outcome be tolerated.

Also, while I'm not writing off Texas - the state did bank almost 10 million early ballots - it would take a lot for it to turn blue this year. However, the long-term trends for the state bode well if you're a Democrat.

So, without further ado,

Biden plus 8 - 10 points